Sunday, February 3, 2008

The Tightening Democratic Race and Explainations

This is the Gallup Daily Tracking poll for today (Feb. 3rd)
http://media.gallup.com/poll/graphs/020308DailyUpdateGraph2.gif

This CLEARLY shows that the democratic race is neck-in-neck, with no clear frontrunner. How things change after Super Tuesday is another story that is, for now, just speculation.

Obama raised $32 million dollars in January, over $1 million a day. These contributions came in small amounts from appx. 500,000 supporters chipping in an average in the ballpark of $64 each. With this money, his campaign has purchased a Super Bowl ad that will be played in a large number of Super Tuesday states. The ad is found at:
http://link.brightcove.com/services/link/bcpid353515028/bctid1402023943

Back to the tightening race. Clinton has had a huge lead throughout the campaign, getting into the range of 20 percentage points at times. Just look at California; Clinton, just a few days ago, had a lead of 12%, according to the RCP average, but today, she has a statistically insignificant 1.5% lead, with some polls showing him with a slight lead. (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ca/california_democratic_primary-259.html). Obama has capitalized upon endorsements from: The LA Times, a large number of Kennedys, including Ted Kennedy and Ethel Kennedy, JFK's widower, MoveOn.org, and others.

Stay tuned for more links and analyses.

2 comments:

Tucker said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Tucker said...

my prediction: obama over mccain in the end