Sunday, February 3, 2008

Super Tuesday: Predictions

On the Republican side:
McCain will win nationally with a margin of about 18%. This will give him a HUGE lead in delegates; not quite enough to technically seal the victory, but as far as momentum, the nomination will be won.

On the Democratic side:
Clinton will win nationally by a slight margin (perhaps 3-4%) and will win by a margin of ~20 delegates. Obama will win in the south (excluding Arkansas) and in the midwest and west (The Idaho, Dakotas area). Clinton will win the northeast and east and California and pacific northeast. Obama's lead with committed delegates will slip to within 15.

Post Super Tuesday analyses will follow on the 6th or late on the 5th.

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