Friday, February 8, 2008

Predictions for Saturday, Feb. 9

Republicans:
-Louisiana: As he is the undisputed frontrunner, PA predicts McCain will win Lousiana. Of those still in the race, he has the strongest presence in fundraising in the state.
-Kansas: Despite Paul's lead in fundraising in the state, Kansas will go to McCain.
Neither state is WTA, nor do they have enough delegates to seal the nomination for McCain, but this will further cement his frontrunner status.

Democrats:
-Nebraska and Washington: Obama has excellent organization in caucus states and usually does very well in these states. PA predicts Obama will win Nebraska and Washington state. Washington's governor, Christine Gregoire, also endorsed Obama Friday
-Louisiana: Louisiana is the only primary state for Democrats voting Saturday, and, in the 2004 primary, 46% of its Democratic electorate was African-American. Obama has, according to exit polls, struck a chord with the African-American community in general, consistently getting in the ballpark of 80% in that voting base. Therefore, PA predicts Obama will win Louisiana in tomorrow's primary.
Thus, PA predicts Obama will sweep Saturday's primary and caucuses.

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